这是一个很明显的策略问题。 多年以来，日美车厂在美国展开疯狂竞争。但是因为日车劳工成本低，美车厂受工会协议限制，只要不破除和工会的协议，无论怎样发展新技术，正面竞争，都会由于成本的原因成为一个败局。 要破这个局，只有像天龙八部中的珍珑棋局一样，先自填一眼，自杀一片棋子，然后打开战略空间，达到歼敌效果。 日美车厂数十年的竞争的一个核心就是成本控制。而成本控制就会增大技术隐患。这些隐患的解决方法就是召回。在2009以前，日车美车都逐渐受到日益增多的质量隐患投诉。美国监管部门采取了严厉打击美车，故意放任日车掩盖过失的策略，致使福特通用等年年大批召回，赔本亏损，直至损伤元气，濒临破产。 这样车厂和工会就迅速从劳资对立关系转化为存亡共同体。同时联邦以钓出(bail out)方式介入，迫使工会让步，从而打破了和工会间的必死之局。同时，由于频繁召回迫使车厂弥补了很多技术漏洞，加上劳工成本下降，bail out之后客户突然发现同样价格美车质量甚至超越日车。 但是，美车市场占有率失血已经太过严重，日车质量稳定的声誉使得日车市场仍旧无可动摇。 在这个时候，美国监管部门开始让多年掩盖的日车问题迅速曝光，一方面利用召回侵蚀日车财力，一方面利用舆论毁灭日车信誉，一方面焕然一新的美车已经准备好重新占领市场。完败之局被翻盘为完胜。而日车经此打击后，美国政府自然不会bail out他们，他们将多年无法翻身。 如果，美国从一开始就日美一视同仁，而不是只揪美车的小辫子，日美车系零部件成本同步上涨，美车厂和工会的死结就无法破局。如果蚕食局面再长期持续下去，美车开发能力必然逐渐枯竭。那时即便工会破局，美车也无复苏之力了。 如果，美国从一开始就严打日车，纵容美车质量问题，必然促使日车改进质量，加强研发。而日美车厂劳工成本差距仍在。这样美国车厂虽然能够短暂喘息，但是由于事实上的技术和质量差距不断加大，消费者必然持续倾向日车，当这种倾向达到一定程度，就是美车的死期了。 如果，前些年对美车质量的严打不够凌厉快速，慢慢衰弱的结果仍旧是技术研发力量流失。 因此，第一步只能是纵容日车隐患，迅速严打美车隐患–直至其被bail out，和工会关系破局，而同时各车厂研发骨干未损，可迅速在bail out后推出成本有竞争力的可靠高技术车型。这一步在去年完成。 如果，严打美车阶段并未纵容日车，则由于日车一向比较注重质量，今天未必能找到足够炮弹严厉打击日车。 如果，日车认识到这个布局，当年跟风自打嘴巴严打自己，虽然占领市场份额要慢得多，但今天遇到的挑战就会小很多。 可惜，市场上不但有日车美车，还有一个韩车。美国对韩车的纵容更加彻底。这样日车为了不被韩车抢占市场份额，严打自己的勇气就小了很多。终于陷入这个局中。 如今，Toyota因为漏洞较多，被打了出头鸟，已经无可自救，只有被慢慢打垮一条路。Honda如果不赶紧自查堵漏洞，Toyota完蛋后就轮到他们了。
Fedora: Starting abrt daemon: abrtd: Failed to start: timeout waiting for child
This is listed as Bug 524469 but never a real solution was drawn. https://bugzilla.redhat.com/show_bug.cgi?id=524469 However, this is an easy thing, that the user abrt was not created. This cab be figured by running $ abrtd -vvvv Cure: create the user abrt, as: abrt:x:399:398::/etc/abrt:/sbin/nologin Also you will need to make sure that certain lines exist in group, […]
A few keys to the future
1) Real ID system 2) Real-time democracy based on Real ID system 3) Freedom of international traveling and relocating based on certified Real ID system 4) Self-supported solar-orbiting space station attached to an asteroid 5) The right of obtaining knowledge is listed as basic human right – no cost for self education and the use […]
The superior idea of an Independent Tibet
If the USA really wants to support an independent Tibet, the best way is to persuade India to give the South Tibet area to Dalai Lama to allow them to create a country named South Tibet or anything, and put it under the supervision of India. By this way, there are 8 advantages: 1) Just […]
Use md5 checksum to identify malware
1) download md5deep from here: http://md5deep.sourceforge.net/#download 2) run the DOS script: @echo off if exist c:\out.txt del c:\out.txt for /r c:\ %%a in (*) do (md5deep %%~sa >> c:\out.txt) This will take hours, if you have plenty files. Note: You can change the c:\out.txt to anything you will feel more comfortable, and use like (*.exe […]
Limited by AUTH_SYS, NFS can only handle 16 groups for each user
http://www.insectnation.org/articles/2007/05/08/linux-nfs-16-group-limit/ unless you’d like to suffer the kerberos auth.
Annoyance is not a way of fighting for the future
There are thousands of excuses that the US should tighten the rope around the neck of China. This does not need to be re-listed. However, what is the ultimate goal of all the actions up on China? To suppress its development? To seek a future military victory? To delay the GDP No.1 overtaken? Obviously none […]
Abandoning Deep Space?
Just heard that President Obama is going to slash the funding for going back to the Moon. As well, the sight of NASA would be drown back to near earth space. This is simply a death sentence to the future. The earth is limited, and we are running very close to its limitation of capability, […]
Google: be good, be evil, or be ugly
After a few days of rumor that Google would retreat its Chinese searching business because he claimed of participating the Chinese Government regulation of filtering searching result was evil, after Hilary Clinton has unwisely brought a business debate to a level of international relationship between the two major powers of the world, Google.cn restored all […]
Is there a plot to set down President Obama?
When President Obama moved in the office a year ago, it looked like he got a creative and diligent team. He got a Senate and House ruled by Democrat. He pushed a lot of projects forward for the promised Changes. However, one year later, except for the monster banks who survived from the hole dug […]