The superior idea of an Independent Tibet
If the USA really wants to support an independent Tibet, the best way is to persuade India to give the South Tibet area to Dalai Lama to allow them to create a country named South Tibet or anything, and put it under the supervision of India.
By this way, there are 8 advantages:
1) Just like Taiwan, which is the strategical barrier of China and USA/Japan, or Mongolia, the strategical barrier of China and Russia, South Tibet will be a firm strategical barrier of China and India;
2) The Tibet independent movement will never fade out due to the death of Dalai Lama. It will last generations after generations, and becomes another bleeding point of China;
3) China would never be able to claim the part of land from India, because it is no longer a unsettled boundary area between China and India, but a country that is under protection of India as well as USA and all western countries;
4) A model of preserved Tibet culture will be set up. The Tibetan people who is living inside China would have a country of themselves to escape to, but not as refugees. This will inject fresh blood to the Tibet independence movement;
5) Just like Israel, the new home of Jews after World War II, a home escaping the sadness caused by Nazi, South Tibet will be the new home of Tibetans escaping the sadness caused by CCP;
6) USA and NATO would be able to set up military based in South Tibet, to enhance pressure on China, while they’d never able to do so on the land of India;
7) The later generation of Dalai Lama will have a formal place to be among his people;
8) By formally establishing diplomatic relationship with South Tibet, it would be able to humiliate China to a new extend.
However, I am sure the world, especially India, would never agree with this superior idea.
如果美国和欧洲真心想支持一个自由西藏,而不是任由这张牌随达赖去世而失效,其实有一个非常独特的办法。这个办法就是劝说印度将和中国有争议的阿鲁纳恰尔邦划归达赖,由自由西藏流亡政府在那里建立南藏国。当然为了保护印度的利益,这个南藏国军事上处于印度完全保护之下。
这种做法有八个显而易见的好处:
1)像中国和美日联盟的战略缓冲区台湾,以及中国和俄罗斯的战略缓冲区蒙古一样,南藏将成为中国和印度的战略缓冲区
2)西藏独立运动将永远不会因为达赖喇嘛的去世而淡出。它会一代代传下去,成为中国西南永远的痛。
3)中国将失去从印度夺回藏南的可能性。因为那里已经不再是由于不受国际承认的条约造成的边境争端地区,而是受到世界保护的未被中国占领的藏区。是现存的藏国。
4)藏族特有的文化和传统将能够独立自主地发展存留下去。既不像中国所有的藏区一样受到汉文化的同化,也不像达兰萨拉一样受到印度文化的同化。这样,仍旧生存在中国藏区的藏族人民,如果不满共产党的西藏政策,他们可以回归藏族独立自治的南藏国,而不是流亡海外去适应他国难民政策。这样,西藏独立运动将永远拥有新鲜血液。
5)像作为饱受纳粹迫害的犹太人的新家园以色列一样,南藏可以成为认为受到共产党不公正对待的藏民的新家园。不像蒙古之于内蒙古之过度贫瘠,藏南之于西藏有更好的文化,产业和旅游发展前途。
6)以保护南藏的主权和领土完整为借口,美国北约可以在南藏国驻军,建立军事基地,威慑中国无法武力夺取藏南。同时缩紧对中国的战略包围。反之,如果没有南藏国,美国北约永远不可能在印度或者尼泊尔的国土上做同样的事。而指望印度形成对中国战略后方的有效威慑,恐怕太一厢情愿。
7)在藏南国形成一定藏文化和藏人口后,达赖转世到那里比硬要转世到印度或美国就更加顺理成章了。这新一代达赖拥有自己的人民,而不只是难民,对增加其和中国的双胞达赖的竞争力大有好处。而且小达赖也有可能被更加系统地教育培养。
8)通过和南藏建立外交关系,美国和西方将走出限于历史条约无法和台湾建立公开外交关系的困局,获得一份更加有力的羞辱中国和和中国讨价还价的筹码。
可惜的是,这个世界,特别是印度,永远不会同意这样一种超出现有范畴的解决方案。呵呵。
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